TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B
Volume:
$282,725
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Friday, April 10, 2026 between AD Ceuta FC and Real Sociedad de Fútbol B.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) for AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B on 2026-04-10, considering only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers (La Liga 2 / RFEF), with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Polymarket Market 1 (Ceuta Win) resolves YES if and only if AD Ceuta FC wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
- Polymarket Market 2 (Draw) resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO. If canceled with no make-up game, this market resolves YES.
- Polymarket Market 3 (Real Sociedad B Win) resolves YES if and only if Real Sociedad de Fútbol B wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
- Kalshi Markets 1, 2, and 3 resolve YES based on the corresponding outcome (Ceuta win, Real Sociedad B win, or tie) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- All markets exclude extra time and penalties; only regular play and stoppage time count.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's outcome markets resolve based on the cancellation being treated as a non-result (no YES resolution for win outcomes).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open until the match is completed and a result is determined.
- Match Cancellation Without Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's markets do not explicitly address this scenario but align with the principle that no win occurs if the match does not take place.
- Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official statistics from the governing body (La Liga 2 / RFEF). If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting is used as fallback.
- Scope: Regular Time Only: All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the match result by the governing body or event organizers (La Liga 2 / RFEF), or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed. Markets remain open if the match is postponed until completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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