TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AD Cali vs. Independiente Santa Fe
kalshi
polymarket

AD Cali vs. Independiente Santa Fe

Volume:
$184,131

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 19, 2026

Closed: Mar 19, 12:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,498
N/A
N/A
$27,295
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (AD Cali vs. Independiente Santa Fe)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,615
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cali

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,141
N/A
N/A
$46,457
Settled
No
polymarket

AD Cali

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Independ. Santa Fe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,921
N/A
N/A
$23,625
Settled
No
polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR professional soccer match between AD Cali and Independiente Santa Fe scheduled for March 18, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the final outcome (win, loss, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi resolves all outcome markets to Yes regardless of result, while Polymarket uses conditional logic: draw market Yes on cancellation, win markets No on cancellation.Hero tip: Monitor DIMAYOR.com.co for any postponement or cancellation notices. If the match is canceled without a makeup date, Kalshi traders holding tie positions will see Yes resolution, while Polymarket traders holding win positions will see No resolution. Reconcile your hedge positions accordingly before the scheduled date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate markets all resolve to Yes: Cali win resolves Yes, Tie resolves Yes, Santa Fe win resolves Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where all three mutually exclusive outcomes cannot simultaneously occur, suggesting Kalshi treats the market as a binary confirmation of match completion rather than outcome differentiation.
  • Polymarket: Three outcome-specific markets with conditional cancellation logic. Draw market: Yes if draw OR canceled (no makeup). Cali win market: Yes if Cali wins, No if canceled (no makeup). Santa Fe win market: Yes if Santa Fe wins, No if canceled (no makeup). This creates asymmetric cancellation treatment across the three markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.