TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 9:06 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between ACF Fiorentina and SSC Napoli, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina" if ACF Fiorentina are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "SSC Napoli" if SSC Napoli are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between ACF Fiorentina and SSC Napoli, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina" if ACF Fiorentina are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "SSC Napoli" if SSC Napoli are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team to score first in the second half, the price of those shares increases, and the probability goes up. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined values.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—ACF Fiorentina or SSC Napoli—scores the first goal in the second half of the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against reliable sports news sources. The platform will then finalize the outcome based on this publicly available information, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either ACF Fiorentina or SSC Napoli would likely cause shifts in the odds. Tactical changes announced by either manager, such as a change in formation or starting lineup, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, even weather conditions on match day or pre-match analysis from respected football commentators could sway traders' opinions and lead to changes in the price of shares in this market.