Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi resolve all markets based on the official final score from legaseriea.it within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with identical spread thresholds and over/under goal totals.
Primary resolution logic:
Official final score published on legaseriea.it (Lega Serie A)
Core resolution logic:
Spread markets resolve based on the goal differential: Fiorentina (-1.5) resolves YES if Fiorentina wins by 2+ goals; Fiorentina (-2.5) resolves YES if Fiorentina wins by 3+ goals; Lazio (-1.5) resolves YES if Lazio wins by 2+ goals; Lazio (-2.5) resolves YES if Lazio wins by 3+ goals.
Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goals: O/U 1.5 resolves OVER if 2+ combined goals; O/U 2.5 resolves OVER if 3+ combined goals; O/U 3.5 resolves OVER if 4+ combined goals; O/U 4.5 resolves OVER if 5+ combined goals.
Both Teams to Score resolves YES if each team scores at least one goal; resolves NO if either team scores zero goals.
All markets reference only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Resolution source is the official statistics from legaseriea.it; if not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and the official final score is published.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50.
Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed, all markets resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it at the time of resolution.
Delayed Official Statistics: If legaseriea.it does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, resolution may be based on a consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon publication of the official final score on legaseriea.it following the match conclusion, or within 2 hours thereafter if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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