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ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC - First Team to Score
polymarket
limitless
kalshi

What team will score first?

Volume:
$24,580

Fiorentina advances

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fiorentina advances

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,502
N/A
N/A
$9,661
Settled
Yes
limitless

Fiorentina

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-3¢
N/A
$1,035
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ACF Fiorentina

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pisa advances

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,518
N/A
N/A
$5,557
Settled
No
limitless

Pisa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pisa SC

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This group forecasts which team will score the first goal in the Coppa Italia match between ACF Fiorentina and Pisa SC. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market focuses on which team advances in the tournament, while Polymarket and Limitless focus on which team scores the first goal.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi if you want to bet on the first goalscorer. Focus on Polymarket or Limitless for that outcome. Kalshi is effectively a bet on the match winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to ACF Fiorentina if they score first, Pisa SC if Pisa scores first, or Neither if no team scores within 90 minutes + stoppage time. "This market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina" if ACF Fiorentina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Fiorentina or Pisa advances to the next round of the Coppa Italia. "If Fiorentina advance past Pisa in the Fiorentina vs Pisa soccer tie...the market resolves to Yes."
  • Limitless: Resolves to YES if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO. "This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between ACF Fiorentina and Pisa SC, scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina" if ACF Fiorentina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Pisa SC" if Pisa SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Kalshi

If Fiorentina advance past Pisa in the Fiorentina vs Pisa soccer tie in the Round Of 32 of the Coppa Italia, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pisa advance past Fiorentina in the Fiorentina vs Pisa soccer tie in the Round Of 32 of the Coppa Italia, then the market resolves to Yes.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 15, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective intelligence of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to different probabilities compared to traditional sportsbooks, which may be influenced by factors like house bias or limitations in their modeling. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical analysis and expert opinions, while prediction markets allow anyone to participate and express their beliefs. As more information becomes available and more people trade, the prediction market odds can become a highly accurate forecast of the event's outcome. The current volume of $24,580 suggests active trading on this event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence how traders value the same outcome. For example, Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders with access to different information, while Kalshi could have a larger number of casual participants. Differences in liquidity – reflected in the 24-hour volume of $21,243 – can also contribute to price discrepancies. Additionally, differing interpretations of available information about the Fiorentina vs. Pisa match can lead to varied assessments of probabilities.