This event group covers the Serie A soccer match between ACF Fiorentina and Pisa SC scheduled for February 23, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi predict the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms consistently resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical treatment of postponements and cancellations across the three mutually exclusive outcomes.
Primary resolution logic:
Lega Serie A official website (legaseriea.it) and match officials' final determination
Core resolution logic:
Match resolves based on the official result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Fiorentina win (Yes on Polymarket win market, Yes on Kalshi Fiorentina market), Pisa win (Yes on Polymarket win market, Yes on Kalshi Pisa market), or draw (Yes on Polymarket draw market, Yes on Kalshi tie market)
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
If match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, Polymarket win markets resolve No, and Kalshi markets implicitly require match completion
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and the official result is determined
Cancellation without rescheduling: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes; Polymarket Fiorentina and Pisa win markets resolve No. Kalshi structure does not explicitly address this scenario but implies match must occur
Extra time and penalties: Resolution is based only on the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration
Match outcome determination: Official determination by match officials and Lega Serie A records is the sole arbiter; no alternative sources or interpretations apply
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes and the official final result is confirmed by Lega Serie A, expected on or shortly after February 23, 2026
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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