TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913
kalshi
polymarket

ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913

Volume:
$1,092,019

Draw (ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70,117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,666
N/A
N/A
$55,238
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ACF Fiorentina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$524,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fiorentina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144,359
N/A
N/A
$98,155
Settled
No
kalshi

Parma Calcio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154,035
N/A
N/A
$115,226
Settled
No
polymarket

Parma Calcio 1913

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between ACF Fiorentina and Parma Calcio 1913 scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (Fiorentina win, draw, or Parma win) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes all marked as Yes-resolving conditions without explicit cancellation handling, while Polymarket provides explicit cancellation rules with asymmetric treatment (draw resolves Yes on cancellation; win markets resolve No).Hero tip: Treat Kalshi's three markets as a complete outcome set where exactly one resolves Yes per match. On Polymarket, the draw market has upside optionality in cancellation scenarios. Confirm match status through official Lega Serie A channels before settlement. If postponement occurs, both platforms keep markets open; if full cancellation with no makeup, Polymarket draw wins automatically.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate markets cover Fiorentina win, Tie, and Parma win, each resolving Yes if their condition is met after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Logical structure implies mutual exclusivity but lacks clarity on edge cases.
  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit cancellation rules: Fiorentina win and Parma win resolve No if canceled with no makeup; draw resolves Yes if canceled. Postponement keeps markets open. Primary source is official Lega Serie A statistics within 2 hours of conclusion, or credible reporting consensus thereafter.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.