TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Académico de Viseu FC and Vitória SC scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the match will end in a draw, based on the result within the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Académico de Viseu FC and Vitória SC.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 12, 2026, 19:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a more nuanced view than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to differences, particularly when there's asymmetric information or strong opinions not fully captured by sportsbook models. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert analysis, this market incorporates real-time sentiment and potentially insider knowledge, offering a distinct perspective on the likely outcome of the Académico de Viseu vs. Vitória SC match.
Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Limitless due to variations in trading volume, user base, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different set of traders with potentially differing information and risk appetites, leading to discrepancies in price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can influence price movements; lower volume on one platform can result in greater price volatility. These factors contribute to the observed differences in how the probability of outcomes is assessed across Polymarket and Limitless.