TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Academia Anzoategui FC and Caracas in the Venezuela Liga FUTVE. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the match will end in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Academia Anzoategui FC vs Caracas professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer match scheduled for September 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Academia Anzoategui FC win, Caracas win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for Academia Anzoategui FC, the 'Academia Anzoategui FC' market resolves to Yes. If Caracas secures the win, the 'Caracas' market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As more people participate and trade, the odds can converge or diverge from sportsbook lines, depending on whether the crowd perceives an advantage or disadvantage not yet factored into the traditional odds. This dynamic can create opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence in its likelihood, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by trader activity.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Academia Anzoategui FC vs Caracas match in the Venezuelan Primera División. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Academia Anzoategui FC or Caracas could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis highlighting a tactical advantage for one team, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can create momentum and influence the overall direction of this market, reflecting new information or changing sentiment.