TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between AC Virtus and SK Dila Gori, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between AC Virtus and SK Dila Gori, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one derive prices from direct trader belief and capital allocation. Prediction markets typically reflect longer-term consensus and can be more efficient at pricing uncertain outcomes because traders have direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. Sportsbook odds may shift more rapidly in response to sharp action or liability management. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the prediction market community is pricing the exact score differently than professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome is determined by the ratio of liquidity pools and adjusts dynamically as traders place orders. Shares cost more as demand increases and less as demand falls, creating a continuous price discovery process. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and the final price reflects the aggregate belief of all market participants about which exact scoreline is most likely.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact final scoreline at the end of regulation play. Traders who hold shares in the winning exact-score outcome receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Early resolution is possible if the match is officially abandoned or rescheduled, though standard protocol is to wait for completion and official confirmation before settlement occurs.
Key catalysts that could shift odds include team roster announcements, injury reports, recent form and head-to-head records, and weather or venue conditions on match day. Betting action from sharp traders or institutional flow can also drive rapid repricing. Public news—such as coaching changes, suspension announcements, or lineup confirmations—often triggers volatility. As the match approaches, real-time updates during warm-ups or early play may cause traders to adjust positions. Historical scoring patterns between these teams and broader league trends can influence which exact scores attract the most trading interest and liquidity.