TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

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$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio
polymarket
kalshi

AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio

Volume:
$1,816,604

Udinese

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Udinese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$536,456
N/A
N/A
$320,520
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Udinese Calcio

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$190,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Milan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$454,167
N/A
N/A
$272,362
Settled
No
polymarket

AC Milan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$341,185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175,741
N/A
N/A
$133,280
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between AC Milan and Udinese Calcio.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Milan win, Udinese win, draw), where exactly one resolves YES. Kalshi defines three independent markets that can ALL resolve YES simultaneously if their respective outcomes occur, creating a logical contradiction: both platforms cannot simultaneously resolve consistently for the same match outcome.Hero tip: Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi will settle identically. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets resolves YES. On Kalshi, all three markets can resolve YES at once (e.g., if Milan wins, the Milan market resolves YES, but the Udinese and Tie markets resolve NO). Verify your position against each platform's settlement rules independently before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where only one outcome can occur per match. Each market (Milan win, Udinese win, draw) resolves YES or NO based on the single match result, ensuring exactly one market resolves YES and two resolve NO. Key quote: 'If AC Milan wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (applied identically to all three markets, making them mutually exclusive).
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three independent conditional markets where each resolves YES if its named outcome occurs, allowing all three to resolve YES simultaneously if the match completes (which is logically impossible for a single match). Key quote: 'If Milan wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Udinese wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes' (three independent YES conditions for one match).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.