Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi resolve all markets based on the official final score from legaseriea.it after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with identical thresholds and outcome logic across all spread and total markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official final score published on legaseriea.it (Lega Serie A)
Core resolution logic:
All spread markets resolve based on the goal differential: AC Milan (-2.5) resolves YES if Milan wins by 3+; AC Milan (-1.5) resolves YES if Milan wins by 2+; Torino (-1.5) resolves YES if Torino wins by 2+; Torino (-2.5) resolves YES if Torino wins by 3+.
All over/under markets resolve based on combined goals: O/U 1.5 resolves Over if 2+ combined goals; O/U 2.5 resolves Over if 3+ combined goals; O/U 3.5 resolves Over if 4+ combined goals; O/U 4.5 resolves Over if 5+ combined goals.
Both Teams to Score resolves YES if both teams score at least one goal each, NO if either team scores zero.
Resolution scope is limited to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion. If canceled with no make-up game, all markets resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets in the group remain open and unresolved until the game is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the final score of the rescheduled match.
Complete Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split evenly between YES and NO outcomes).
Incomplete Match: If the game is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned mid-match), resolution is based on the official final score published by legaseriea.it at that point.
Delayed Official Statistics: If legaseriea.it does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, resolution may use a consensus of credible reporting sources instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon publication of the official final score by legaseriea.it after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). If official statistics are not published within 2 hours, resolution may proceed using credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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