TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between AC Milan and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan score more goals than Sport Lisboa e Benfica in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AC Milan and Sport Lisboa e Benfica score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica score more goals than AC Milan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between AC Milan and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan score more goals than Sport Lisboa e Benfica in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AC Milan and Sport Lisboa e Benfica score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica score more goals than AC Milan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong ability to forecast real-world outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional methods. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by promotional offers or public biases, leading to discrepancies with this market’s pricing.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the potential second half result. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official second half result of the AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica match. The determination will be made based on the official match data, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either AC Milan or Sport Lisboa e Benfica would likely cause price fluctuations. Tactical changes announced by either manager before or during the match could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, in-game events during the first half, such as goals scored or red cards issued, will almost certainly shift the probabilities reflected in this market. Unexpected weather conditions or referee decisions could also play a role.