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AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica - First Team to Score
polymarket

What team will score first?

Volume:
$4,816

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

 - Polymarket

Sport Lisboa e Benfica - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 7:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

AC Milan

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between AC Milan and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between AC Milan and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the AC Milan vs Benfica first-to-score market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each team scoring first changes over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market. Currently, the total volume is $4,816 with $4,616 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of either AC Milan or Sport Lisboa e Benfica breaking the deadlock.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. As a result, you might find that the implied probability of a team scoring first in this market diverges from sportsbook offerings, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It’s important to compare both to get a comprehensive view.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in AC Milan to score first, for example, the price of those shares will increase, and the probability assigned to that outcome will rise. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available.

This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – AC Milan or Sport Lisboa e Benfica – scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either AC Milan or Sport Lisboa e Benfica would likely cause significant movement. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also shift probabilities. Even general news about team morale or recent performance could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, might also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.