TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 11:13 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Club Friendlies game between AC Milan and Inter Milano, scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan score more goals than Inter Milano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AC Milan and Inter Milano score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Inter Milano" if Inter Milano score more goals than AC Milan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Club Friendlies game between AC Milan and Inter Milano, scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan score more goals than Inter Milano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AC Milan and Inter Milano score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Inter Milano" if Inter Milano score more goals than AC Milan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market shows a strong tilt toward one side, reflecting trader sentiment that differs from typical sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds incorporate real-time trader positioning and can shift rapidly with new information, while sportsbooks balance their books using a mix of historical data and risk management. This often leads to divergence, where Polymarket prices may appear more extreme than traditional sports odds. The gap can widen before Aug 5, 2026 if key player injuries or tactical changes emerge, making this market a useful barometer of crowd-sourced expectations distinct from institutional sports betting lines.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after the 45 minutes of the second half — excluding any extra time — will determine which outcome wins, and the market will close accordingly.
Several key developments could shift this market before Aug 5, 2026. Injuries to star players, tactical adjustments by coaches, or even weather conditions affecting match play can instantly reshape trader expectations. Mid-game momentum swings — like early goals or red cards — often trigger rapid price adjustments on Polymarket, as participants reassess the likelihood of each half-time result. Additionally, broader narrative shifts, such as transfer rumors influencing player morale, may impact market sentiment in the days leading to the final whistle. Any last-minute lineup changes will likely produce the most immediate volatility.