TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A match between AC Milan and FC Internazionale Milano scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET. Markets span total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 thresholds), both teams scoring, and spread betting (goal-margin outcomes for both teams at -1.5 and -2.5 differentials).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the same match outcome (AC Milan vs FC Internazionale Milano, March 8, 2026, 90 minutes plus stoppage time only), the same primary resolution source (legaseriea.it), and identical handling of postponements, cancellations, and incomplete matches.
Primary resolution logic:
legaseriea.it (official Lega Serie A statistics and final match records)Core resolution logic:
- Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goals scored by both teams: O/U 1.5 resolves Over if 2+ goals, Under if 0-1 goals; O/U 2.5 resolves Over if 3+ goals, Under if 0-2 goals; O/U 3.5 resolves Over if 4+ goals, Under if 0-3 goals; O/U 4.5 resolves Over if 5+ goals, Under if 0-4 goals
- Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least 1 goal; resolves No if either team scores 0 goals
- Spread markets resolve based on goal differential: AC Milan -1.5 resolves to AC Milan if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise to Inter; AC Milan -2.5 resolves to AC Milan if they win by 3+ goals, otherwise to Inter; Inter -1.5 resolves to Inter if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise to AC Milan; Inter -2.5 resolves to Inter if they win by 3+ goals, otherwise to AC Milan
- All resolution applies only to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50
- If match starts but is not completed, resolution uses the official final score published on legaseriea.it
- If legaseriea.it does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used as fallback
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the final score of the rescheduled match.
- Cancellation with no makeup: If the match is canceled entirely and no makeup game is scheduled, all markets in this group resolve 50-50 (split evenly between all possible outcomes).
- Incomplete match: If the match starts but is not completed (e.g., abandoned), resolution uses the official final score as published by legaseriea.it, which may reflect the score at the time of abandonment or an official determination.
- Delayed official statistics: If legaseriea.it does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after the match concludes, resolution may use a consensus of credible reporting sources (e.g., major sports news outlets, official team announcements) as a fallback.
- Extra time and penalties excluded: All markets resolve based only on the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not included in resolution, even if they occur.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics from legaseriea.it are the primary source; if not published within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets remain open if the match is postponed until the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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