TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between AC Goianiense and Fortaleza EC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AC Goianiense vs. Fortaleza EC match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between AC Goianiense and Fortaleza EC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AC Goianiense vs. Fortaleza EC match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds reflect what informed traders believe will happen, unfiltered by a bookmaker's margin or liability concerns. Over time, prediction markets have shown accuracy in pricing low-probability outcomes and capturing late-breaking information. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact score outcome through an automated market maker mechanism. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each scoreline contract trades independently, and the probability of any outcome is determined by the proportion of capital allocated to it relative to the total pool. As traders buy or sell specific scores, prices adjust dynamically to reflect shifting expectations. The market naturally incentivizes accurate pricing because traders profit by correctly predicting the final result and can arbitrage mispricings across different score outcomes.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match between AC Goianiense and Fortaleza concludes. The outcome is determined by the final scoreline verified against credible public sources covering the fixture. Whichever exact score outcome matches the official result will be marked correct, and all other outcomes will resolve to zero. Traders holding the winning score contract receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the match. Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes can dramatically alter expectations for scoring patterns. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions at the venue all influence how traders price different scorelines. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments will cause rapid repricing as the probability of various final scores changes. Late-breaking information about player availability or tactical surprises can trigger significant market movement right up to kickoff.