TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether AC Goianiense will defeat Fortaleza in their Brasileiro Serie B professional soccer match. On Kalshi, AC Goianiense winning is priced at 98.0%. The market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties, as determined by official match records. Watch for the completion of the match scheduled for July 12, 2026, which will trigger resolution on the following day.
Resolution is based on the final result of the AC Goianiense vs Fortaleza Brasileiro Serie B match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalties factored in. Each outcome—AC Goianiense win, Fortaleza win, or tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the match result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction across Kalshi, which can reveal information gaps or contrarian views that sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree most sharply.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks, and the current price reflects the most recent matched trade. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, with each cent representing a 1% probability increment. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the spread between buy and sell orders widens or tightens, and the midpoint price adjusts accordingly. This continuous repricing ensures the market reflects the latest consensus on the match outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the AC Goianiense vs Fortaleza match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and official match result reported by recognized sports authorities. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments or pre-match information influence their expectations. Resolution is automatic once the event is confirmed and the platform processes the settlement.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or coaching changes that alter perceived match strength. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings can shift trader conviction as the fixture approaches. Weather conditions, venue factors, and betting-market consensus from major sportsbooks may also influence prediction market prices. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and late-breaking tactical information in the hours before kickoff typically drive the most volatile price swings in this market.