TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether both AC Goianiense and Criciuma will score at least one goal each in their upcoming Brasileiro Serie B match. The outcome is determined by scoring during the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Own goals count for the team they are awarded to.
If AC Goianiense and Criciuma both score a goal in the AC Goianiense vs Criciuma Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market odds can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook lines, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the event's probability. It’s common to see divergence as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both AC Goianiense and Criciuma will score during the match. The price of a 'Yes' contract indicates the probability of both teams scoring, while the price of a 'No' contract reflects the probability of at least one team failing to score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined by the forces of supply and demand; if more traders believe both teams will score, the 'Yes' contract price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information efficiently.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both AC Goianiense and Criciuma score at least one goal during the scheduled match time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of this market. The result will be determined by official match data, and the market will settle based on that verified information. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Sep 13, 2026 resolution date. Key injuries to star players on either AC Goianiense or Criciuma would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in team formations or tactical approaches. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the likelihood of goals being scored. Furthermore, any news regarding team morale, suspensions, or internal conflicts could shift market sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential price movements.