TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 12:00 AM EST
Kalshi
AC Boise and Sacramento Republic play a professional USL Cup soccer match on July 11, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final result of the AC Boise vs Sacramento Republic professional USL Cup soccer game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty procedures. Three distinct outcomes are possible: AC Boise victory, Sacramento Republic victory, or a tie. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than two weeks away from the original July 11 date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader conviction and real-money stakes. This market aggregates the collective judgment of traders who profit only by predicting accurately, which can sometimes reveal edges that traditional oddsmakers miss. Comparing the two can highlight where public perception and informed trading sentiment differ most sharply.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the bid-ask spread tightens or widens accordingly. This transparent, real-time pricing model ensures that the odds you see are always grounded in actual trading activity rather than a fixed algorithm.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official match records. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments unfold. Resolution happens automatically once the event is complete and the data is confirmed, at which point winning shares are paid out in full.
Team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly impact trader sentiment in this market. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence how traders price the outcome. Weather conditions on match day, lineup announcements, and pre-game momentum can trigger sharp moves in the final hours. Additionally, any breaking news about player availability or unexpected developments will likely cause traders to reassess their positions, creating volatility in the odds.