TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds (W)
Volume:
$18,631
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Abilene Christian Wildcats and Southern Utah Thunderbirds scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory: both possible game outcomes (Southern Utah win OR Abilene Christian win) are mapped to Yes, creating a tautology with no valid No resolution path. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. The market as written cannot settle to No under any realistic game outcome. Polymarket's binary winner-based structure is the only resolvable version.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary event: Abilene Christian win resolves to 'Abilene Christian Wildcats', Southern Utah win resolves to 'Southern Utah Thunderbirds'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction: 'If Southern Utah wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Abilene Christian wins...resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution (Yes), leaving no valid condition for No resolution. Market structure is internally inconsistent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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