TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point spreads in an upcoming college football game between Abilene Christian and Idaho. Each outcome depends on the margin of victory for either team, with different thresholds defining success for each market.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Abilene Christian vs Idaho college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If Idaho wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold—from 1.5 to 25.5 points—the corresponding 'Idaho wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Abilene Christian wins by more than the designated margin—ranging from 2.5 to 22.5 points—the relevant 'Abilene Christian wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the most probable outcome based on available information at the time of resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly, potentially offering an edge. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Abilene Christian vs Idaho game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the final spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more people believe the spread will be a certain way, the price of the corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. The current price represents the probability that the market assigns to that outcome, relative to the other possible outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Abilene Christian vs Idaho game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the game, and the market will settle to 100 for the winning side of the spread and 0 for the losing side. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Abilene Christian or Idaho teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as significant betting activity in sportsbooks, could all contribute to fluctuations in this market’s price.