TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 2:33 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets determine whether Abha or Al-Hazm achieves a decisive victory by a margin exceeding specified goal differences in the same match, evaluated after regular time including stoppage minutes but excluding any extended play.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Abha or Al-Hazm wins the professional Saudi Pro League soccer game scheduled for August 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. One market resolves to Yes if Abha wins by more than 2.5 goals, another if Abha wins by more than 1.5 goals, a third if Al-Hazm wins by more than 1.5 goals, and a fourth if Al-Hazm wins by more than 2.5 goals. If the condition is met, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the league governance, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds because they incorporate real-time trading dynamics and can react faster to new information. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader models and historical data, this market price is driven directly by participant activity and volume of $23,445. The difference can be especially noticeable for under-the-radar matchups like the Abha vs Al-Hazm spread market, where prediction markets may highlight shifts in trader confidence not yet reflected in sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score margin will decide whether the spread falls above or below the set line, closing the market based on official match results.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 13, 2026. Key performance indicators such as recent form, player injuries, or lineup changes for either team may influence trader expectations. Weather conditions or tactical decisions by coaches can also impact perceptions of the spread. High trading volume of $18,123 on Kalshi often amplifies price swings as new information emerges, especially ahead of the match. Any last-minute roster updates or venue news could further sway this market as the event approaches.