TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for goal differences to determine the result. The match must conclude within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time to be valid.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026. Four distinct criteria are used to determine resolution, each focusing on the margin of victory for either Aberdeen or Kilmarnock. For Aberdeen, markets resolve to Yes if they win by more than 2.5 goals or by more than 1.5 goals. For Kilmarnock, markets resolve to Yes if they win by more than 1.5 goals or by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions depend on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event explicitly states that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action, whereas this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches, offering opportunities for informed traders to identify potentially mispriced contracts. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing football authorities, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payouts on Kalshi following the match’s completion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 5, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Aberdeen or Kilmarnock would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Team news, tactical changes announced by the managers, and even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or changes in their league standings, could also contribute to price movements. Any significant news related to the teams or the match itself has the potential to move this market.