TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 1:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming Scottish Premiership soccer match. It specifically measures whether either team secures a decisive lead of more than 1.5 goals before halftime. The outcome depends entirely on the performance of the teams during the first 45 minutes of play.
The event determines whether either Aberdeen or Heart of Midlothian wins the first half of their scheduled match by more than a 1.5 goal margin. Both primary rules assess a decisive first-half victory for either team, with the market resolving to Yes if Aberdeen leads by more than 1.5 goals, or if Heart of Midlothian achieves the same margin. Only goals scored in the first half count, and the market applies to the professional Scottish Premiership game originally set for August 1, 2026. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, the market resolves to a fair price following the stated procedures. The secondary rules clarify that the assessment is strictly limited to first-half performance and account for potential game disruptions.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends purely on the live match statistics — specifically whether Heart of Midlothian wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals. No external judgments or interpretations are needed; the final score from the official match record determines the settlement.
Key signals such as injury updates, lineup announcements, or recent form for either team could shift this market. Weather forecasts affecting playing conditions, tactical changes by the managers, or even early pre-match betting trends on Kalshi can cause price swings. Traders will react to any information that impacts the perceived likelihood of Heart of Midlothian achieving a first-half spread victory, often leading to noticeable movement in odds as the match approaches.