TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Aarhus GF and KKS Lech Poznań, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań" if KKS Lech Poznań are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Aarhus GF and KKS Lech Poznań, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań" if KKS Lech Poznań are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than a bookmaker's fixed margin. On this market, odds can shift rapidly as new information emerges or as large trades move the price. Sportsbooks typically adjust more slowly and build in a house edge, whereas prediction markets are peer-to-peer exchanges where prices reflect genuine belief. Both sources can offer valuable signals, but prediction markets tend to be more responsive to breaking news and live developments closer to match time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is represented as a separate contract, and the combined probability of all outcomes sums to 100 percent. As traders buy or sell contracts, the price adjusts algorithmically to reflect new demand. This mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and transparent pricing throughout the trading period, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal. If neither team scores during regular time, the market outcome reflects that state. Resolution is automatic once the event is confirmed, and all positions settle according to the final result. Traders should monitor official match reporting to anticipate the resolution timing.
Team news—such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter the odds. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage are key factors traders monitor. Weather conditions on match day may also influence early-game dynamics and scoring patterns. Social media sentiment and expert analysis can drive short-term price swings. As kickoff approaches, final team sheets and any last-minute roster updates typically trigger the most volatile price movements. Live match events, such as early chances or defensive mistakes, will continue to reshape trader conviction right up until the first goal is scored.