TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Aarhus GF and KKS Lech Poznań, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Aarhus GF and KKS Lech Poznań, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this match, comparing this market's exact-score odds to major sportsbooks reveals whether bettors on Polymarket expect a different distribution of scorelines than bookmakers do. Prediction markets sometimes price rare outcomes more fairly because traders profit directly from accuracy rather than volume.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the Aarhus versus Lech Poznań fixture concludes and the final scoreline is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regulation time. Resolution occurs after the result is verifiable from credible public sources, ensuring accuracy and fairness to all traders. Until that point, this market remains open for trading, and odds will fluctuate based on team news, injury updates, and pre-match sentiment.
Key catalysts for price movement include team lineups, injury announcements, and recent form. If either side confirms the absence of a star striker or defender, traders may reprrice scorelines involving lower totals upward. Weather conditions on match day—heavy rain or wind—can suppress goal-scoring and shift odds toward draws and low-scoring results. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can also trigger sharp repricing across all outcomes. Pre-match media narratives and betting exchanges' own volume surges often precede coordinated trader repositioning in this market.