TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 3:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Aalesunds FK and Tromsø IL, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Aalesunds FK" if Aalesunds FK score more goals than Tromsø IL in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Aalesunds FK and Tromsø IL score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Tromsø IL" if Tromsø IL score more goals than Aalesunds FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Aalesunds FK and Tromsø IL, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Aalesunds FK" if Aalesunds FK score more goals than Tromsø IL in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Aalesunds FK and Tromsø IL score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Tromsø IL" if Tromsø IL score more goals than Aalesunds FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders competing for profit. This market reflects real-time consensus from participants who have skin in the game, which can lead to sharper pricing on outcomes that traditional oddsmakers may misprice. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional bookmaker assessment.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into continuous odds. As more capital flows into one outcome, the price adjusts mechanically to reflect the updated probability. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible result, and the current price of each share represents the market's implied probability. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as volume increases, rewarding active participation and allowing you to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time rates.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone, independent of the first-half score. Your position will settle automatically based on the confirmed final result, with winnings or losses reflected in your account shortly after the event concludes and the data is validated.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift trader expectations significantly before kickoff. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head history may also influence positioning. During the first half, goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments will reshape second-half forecasts as traders update their models based on live play. Late-breaking information about player availability or venue factors can trigger sharp price swings. Monitor official team announcements and match commentary to stay ahead of market repricing.