TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Aalesunds FK and Molde FK, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Aalesunds FK" if Aalesunds FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Molde FK" if Molde FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Aalesunds FK and Molde FK, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Aalesunds FK" if Aalesunds FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Molde FK" if Molde FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader conviction and capital allocation. In this market, odds emerge from thousands of independent bets rather than a single oddsmaker's judgment. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than sportsbooks on similar events, since traders face real financial consequences for mispricing outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome—Aalesunds FK scoring first or Molde FK scoring first—reflects the ratio of capital allocated to that side. As traders buy or sell shares, the price adjusts continuously. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices move, and larger trades can shift odds more dramatically on thinner markets.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regular play. Once the event is confirmed through established sports data sources, this market will settle to reflect the actual first scorer and all positions will be finalized accordingly.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, as can recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage. Weather conditions on match day may favor one team's style of play. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or unexpected betting action can also trigger price swings. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking tactical announcements or injury updates often trigger sharp moves. During the match itself, early possession patterns and shot quality will influence live sentiment, though this market resolves only once the first goal is scored.