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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Aachen and Regensburg in Germany's 3. Liga. Bettors can speculate on which team will win after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result of that specific match, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets for the Aachen vs Regensburg professional German 3. Liga soccer game originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Aachen win, Regensburg win, or a tie. If Aachen scores more goals than Regensburg by the end of regulation time, the 'Aachen' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Regensburg scores more goals, the 'Regensburg' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. If sportsbooks initially favor one team, the prediction market may show a different probability distribution if traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Aachen vs Regensburg match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic process leads to a market-determined probability for each possible result, constantly updated with each trade.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aachen vs Regensburg match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to contract holders accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could shift the probabilities. Significant weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can affect trader behavior. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team performance or strategic changes could lead to substantial price movements in this market.