TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 8:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the exact final score of the Brazil Serie B soccer match between AA Ponte Preta and São Bernardo FC, scheduled for September 6, 2026. Resolution hinges on the score at the end of regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time), excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A separate 'Any Other Score' option covers all unlisted results.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between AA Ponte Preta and São Bernardo FC, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AA Ponte Preta vs. São Bernardo FC match originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This event assesses various winning margins in the Ponte Preta vs Sao Bernardo match scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Markets resolve to Yes if Ponte Preta wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if Sao Bernardo wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market represents an independent threshold for the victory margin. The governing league's official rules apply, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league. Trademarks and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms by which they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of participants. This market’s odds reflect the crowd's assessment of the likelihood of various exact scores. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within each market. Examining both sources can provide a more well-rounded perspective.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Ponte Preta vs. São Bernardo match. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; lower volume on one platform can result in greater price volatility. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the observed prices.