TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 11:12 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between AA Ponte Preta and Athletic Club, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AA Ponte Preta" if AA Ponte Preta score more goals than Athletic Club in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AA Ponte Preta and Athletic Club score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Athletic Club" if Athletic Club score more goals than AA Ponte Preta in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between AA Ponte Preta and Athletic Club, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AA Ponte Preta" if AA Ponte Preta score more goals than Athletic Club in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AA Ponte Preta and Athletic Club score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Athletic Club" if Athletic Club score more goals than AA Ponte Preta in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader conviction and real-money risk. Prediction markets can sometimes price outcomes more efficiently because participants have direct financial exposure and no house edge to overcome. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree on the second half outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible second-half outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective belief in that result. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader sentiment throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the actual goals, score, or result recorded during the second half of the AA Ponte Preta vs. Athletic Club fixture. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after official match data is confirmed. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout automatically once the outcome is locked in.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift expectations for the second half significantly. Early first-half momentum, scoreline at halftime, and tactical adjustments announced before the restart all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates may also trigger repricing. As kickoff approaches, any official announcements from either club or credible injury reports could prompt sharp moves. During the first half, the halftime score becomes the dominant signal, often causing substantial reallocation across second-half outcome shares.