TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 11:12 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between AA Ponte Preta and Athletic Club, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AA Ponte Preta vs. Athletic Club match originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between AA Ponte Preta and Athletic Club, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AA Ponte Preta vs. Athletic Club match originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus—real money backing genuine beliefs about the outcome. For exact-score markets, prediction odds can be sharper than sportsbook spreads because traders have strong financial motivation to price outcomes accurately. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal inefficiencies, though both sources provide valuable signals for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds for each exact-score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as new trades arrive, reflecting the collective forecast of all active participants. The more capital deployed toward a particular scoreline, the higher its implied probability climbs. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction right up until the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, once the Ponte Preta vs. Athletic Club match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The exact scoreline—combining goals for both teams—determines which outcome wins. Traders holding positions on the correct final score receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, once the result is confirmed through official match reporting.
Team news, injury announcements, and lineup changes can shift odds significantly as traders reassess each side's attacking and defensive strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence how traders price different scorelines. Late-breaking tactical adjustments or surprise roster decisions often trigger sharp price moves in the final hours before kickoff. Live match events—early goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will drive dramatic repricing once play begins, making this market highly dynamic through the final whistle.