TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Rosario Central
Volume:
$149,731
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between AA Argentinos Juniors and CA Rosario Central scheduled for March 11, 2026. Markets across platforms assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how to handle game cancellation with no make-up. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation, while its win markets resolve NO; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Monitor AFA official sources for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw holders win while win-market holders lose; Kalshi's outcome is undefined. Clarify with platform support in advance if cancellation risk is material to your position.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Rosario win (YES if Rosario wins, NO otherwise), Argentinos win (YES if Argentinos wins, NO otherwise), and draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Explicit cancellation rule: if game is canceled with no make-up, draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes"' (draw market); 'Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"' (win markets).
- Kalshi: Three outcome conditions all resolve to YES if met: Rosario wins, Argentinos wins, or tie occurs, all after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. This creates ambiguity: if the game does not occur, none of the three YES conditions are satisfied, but no fallback resolution is stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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