TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 10:29 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between AA Argentinos Juniors and AA Estudiantes, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AA Argentinos Juniors vs. AA Estudiantes match originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between AA Argentinos Juniors and AA Estudiantes, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AA Argentinos Juniors vs. AA Estudiantes match originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks because traders here are directly exposed to the result—creating a pure price discovery mechanism. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue sees value the other has missed, though both ultimately reflect uncertainty about the final scoreline.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each possible exact score carries its own contract, and the price of each reflects the collective confidence of all traders. As new bets flow in, the odds adjust instantly to balance supply and demand. The top outcome currently reflects where most capital is concentrated, though all scorelines remain tradable, allowing you to back any result you believe is undervalued.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores—any deviation from the official result invalidates all other scoreline contracts. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to settle positions quickly. Until that moment, all outcomes remain live and tradable, so market prices can shift right up to kickoff based on late-breaking team news or betting patterns.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can trigger sharp repricing, especially if a key player is ruled out. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or media outlets may shift trader conviction toward or away from certain scorelines. Betting patterns and large trades can also signal informed positioning, prompting others to follow. Weather conditions, venue factors, or recent form updates closer to kickoff often accelerate price movement. Monitor official team announcements and credible sports news sources to stay ahead of market shifts in the final hours before the match begins.