TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:35 AM EST
Kalshi
Two esports teams, 9Gaming and MVK Academy, will compete in a League of Legends match on September 12, 2026. The outcome depends on which team secures victory on the second map of their best-of-series match, determining the winner of this specific map-based market.
This event resolves based on the result of map 2 in the VCS Finals 2026 match between 9Gaming and MVK Academy, scheduled for September 12, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If 9Gaming wins map 2, the market labeled '9Gaming' resolves to Yes. If MVK Academy wins map 2, the market labeled 'MVK Academy' resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's life cycle. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with sportsbook lines, as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a 'yes' outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event draws nearer. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of Map 2 in the 9Gaming vs. MVK Academy match will determine whether the 'yes' contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches to understand potential catalysts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either 9Gaming or MVK Academy could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier maps in the series could also impact expectations for Map 2. Furthermore, broader trends in the competitive gaming scene, or even significant social media discussion, might contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market before it resolves.