TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers prediction markets on the outcome of a Dota 2 match between 4ikibamboni and THE VISION scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT as part of The International Europe Closed Qualifier 2026. Markets are offered on both Kalshi and Limitless platforms with slightly different question structures but identical underlying resolution criteria.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of the head-to-head match between 4ikibamboni and THE VISION in The International Europe Closed Qualifier 2026, scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes if 4ikibamboni wins the match, and also resolves to Yes if THE VISION wins the match. This structure ensures the market resolves to Yes regardless of which team prevails, making the outcome certain to occur as long as the match is played as scheduled.
This market refers to the match between THE VISION and 4ikibamboni in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier 2026, scheduled for Jun 22, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by July 22, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Both platforms host the same underlying event, but their user bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures can create temporary price gaps. Kalshi may attract traders with different risk profiles or information than Limitless, leading to divergent odds even when the true probability is identical. Platform-specific incentives, promotional activity, and order-book depth also influence pricing. These spreads typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit the gap, but during low-volume periods or around major news, meaningful differences can persist. Monitoring both venues helps you identify mispriced outcomes and execute trades on the platform offering better value.
Key roster changes, injuries, or roster announcements for either team will likely trigger sharp price moves as traders reassess win probability. Recent match results, head-to-head records, and performance trends in the lead-up to the event are powerful catalysts. Coaching changes, strategic shifts, or public statements from team leadership can also shift sentiment. Broader esports news, meta shifts in the game, or tournament format updates may influence how traders value each side. As the event date approaches, any official confirmations or last-minute roster swaps will drive final repricing. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets for developments that could reshape this market's trajectory.