TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Sports
4ikibamboni vs. THE VISION
kalshi
limitless

4ikibamboni vs. THE VISION

Volume:
$62,390

THE VISION

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 22, 2026

Closed: Jun 22, 4:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

THE VISION

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,103
N/A
N/A
$20,073
Settled
Yes
limitless

THE VISION

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0¢
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4ikibamboni

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,184
N/A
N/A
$34,896
Settled
No
limitless

4ikibamboni

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on the outcome of a Dota 2 match between 4ikibamboni and THE VISION scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT as part of The International Europe Closed Qualifier 2026. Markets are offered on both Kalshi and Limitless platforms with slightly different question structures but identical underlying resolution criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve on the same match outcome with identical treatment of forfeits and disqualifications, differing only in question framing (Kalshi asks about either team winning; Limitless asks separately about each team).Primary resolution logic: Official The International Europe Closed Qualifier 2026 match result and Dota 2 esports governing authority declaration

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if the specified team (4ikibamboni or THE VISION) wins the match on June 22, 2026
  • A win includes official victory by any means: in-game victory, opponent forfeit, disqualification, or walkover
  • The declared winner by tournament officials is the binding resolution source regardless of match completion status
  • Market resolves to Other/N/A if no official result is published by July 22, 2026 23:59 UTC

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Forfeit or Disqualification: If either team forfeits, is disqualified, or the match is awarded by walkover, the market resolves to the team declared the official winner by tournament organizers
  • Match Postponement: If the match is rescheduled beyond July 22, 2026 23:59 UTC without an official result by that deadline, the market resolves to Other
  • No Official Result: If the match is cancelled entirely or no official result is ever declared, the market resolves to Other
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official publication of the match result by The International Europe Closed Qualifier 2026 organizers, with a hard deadline of July 22, 2026 23:59 UTC for market settlementOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the head-to-head match between 4ikibamboni and THE VISION in The International Europe Closed Qualifier 2026, scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes if 4ikibamboni wins the match, and also resolves to Yes if THE VISION wins the match. This structure ensures the market resolves to Yes regardless of which team prevails, making the outcome certain to occur as long as the match is played as scheduled.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between THE VISION and 4ikibamboni in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier 2026, scheduled for Jun 22, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by July 22, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs with minimal markup. This market reflects pure trader conviction rather than a bookmaker's risk management. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook lines because traders have different information, time horizons, and risk appetites than professional oddsmakers. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd disagrees with Vegas, though both sources carry distinct biases and should be cross-referenced for a complete picture.

Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Both platforms host the same underlying event, but their user bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures can create temporary price gaps. Kalshi may attract traders with different risk profiles or information than Limitless, leading to divergent odds even when the true probability is identical. Platform-specific incentives, promotional activity, and order-book depth also influence pricing. These spreads typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit the gap, but during low-volume periods or around major news, meaningful differences can persist. Monitoring both venues helps you identify mispriced outcomes and execute trades on the platform offering better value.

Key roster changes, injuries, or roster announcements for either team will likely trigger sharp price moves as traders reassess win probability. Recent match results, head-to-head records, and performance trends in the lead-up to the event are powerful catalysts. Coaching changes, strategic shifts, or public statements from team leadership can also shift sentiment. Broader esports news, meta shifts in the game, or tournament format updates may influence how traders value each side. As the event date approaches, any official confirmations or last-minute roster swaps will drive final repricing. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets for developments that could reshape this market's trajectory.