TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 6,509,448
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 6,509,448 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 11, 2026
Closed: Jul 11, 2:42 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks whether the music album 4 Your Eyez Only achieves streaming performance above a specific threshold during a designated week. Resolution is based on worldwide streaming data collected during the July 03-July 09 tracking period, with results typically published within 48 hours after the week concludes.
Kalshi
If 4 Your Eyez Only has above 6,509,448 Worldwide Streams during the July 03 - July 09, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders who profit or lose based on actual outcomes, creating strong incentives for accuracy. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, are often qualitative or based on historical trends and may not incorporate the latest streaming data or market momentum. This market aggregates dispersed information from many participants, potentially offering a different signal than traditional music industry analysts. Comparing the two can reveal where expert consensus diverges from trader conviction on whether this album will hit the streaming target.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell pressure; as new information surfaces—such as early streaming reports or playlist placements—the price adjusts in real time. Your position's value moves with the market price, and you can exit at any time before resolution by selling your shares at the prevailing bid or ask.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the streaming measurement period closes and data becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome hinges on whether the album's total streams fall above or below the specified threshold during the tracked week. Resolution is automatic once the final streaming count is confirmed, and all positions settle according to the binary yes or no result. Traders should monitor official streaming platform announcements and industry reporting as the resolution date approaches.
Early streaming data releases, playlist placements on major platforms, and media coverage of the album's performance can all shift trader expectations and move odds significantly. Chart debuts, radio airplay announcements, and social media momentum may also influence how traders assess the likelihood of hitting the streaming target. Additionally, any unexpected delays in the album's rollout or changes to the measurement window could trigger repricing. Real-time streaming updates and industry news will be the primary catalysts driving this market's price action through resolution.
