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3M Open End of Round 3 Leader
kalshi

Who will lead after round 3 of the 3M Open?

Volume:
$2,289,010

Jackson Koivun

 - Kalshi

Jackson Koivun - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 6:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jackson Koivun

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$410,054
N/A
N/A
$261,717
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$297,717
N/A
N/A
$155,341
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Kohles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$240,247
N/A
N/A
$131,027
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Brennan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$194,872
N/A
N/A
$162,513
Settled
No
kalshi

Emiliano Grillo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$193,157
N/A
N/A
$131,339
Settled
No
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$175,340
N/A
N/A
$163,227
Settled
No
kalshi

Hideki Matsuyama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$137,758
N/A
N/A
$126,164
Settled
No
kalshi

Davis Thompson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$128,557
N/A
N/A
$88,376
Settled
No
kalshi

Troy Merritt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$95,200
N/A
N/A
$94,677
Settled
No
kalshi

Zac Blair

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88,644
N/A
N/A
$78,482
Settled
No
kalshi

Chandler Phillips

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,920
N/A
N/A
$46,257
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny McCarthy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,089
N/A
N/A
$46,142
Settled
No
kalshi

Billy Horschel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,177
N/A
N/A
$54,843
Settled
No
kalshi

Brian Harman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,169
N/A
N/A
$36,450
Settled
No
kalshi

Davis Chatfield

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,607
N/A
N/A
$20,331
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,599
N/A
N/A
$14,599
Settled
No
kalshi

Jesper Svensson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,448
N/A
N/A
$14,448
Settled
No
kalshi

Lee Hodges

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,715
N/A
N/A
$10,715
Settled
No
kalshi

Kurt Kitayama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,549
N/A
N/A
$10,549
Settled
No
kalshi

A.J. Ewart

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,820
N/A
N/A
$9,820
Settled
No
kalshi

Mackenzie Hughes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,820
N/A
N/A
$9,820
Settled
No
kalshi

Seamus Power

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,865
N/A
N/A
$6,865
Settled
No
kalshi

Vince Whaley

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,185
N/A
N/A
$6,185
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Kirk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,876
N/A
N/A
$3,876
Settled
No
kalshi

Gary Woodland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,244
N/A
N/A
$2,244
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 147

Intro

This market tracks which golfer will lead at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 3M Open. On Kalshi, the current probability that Will Jackson Koivun will lead is 99.0%, while Michael Kim leads at 1.0%. The market resolves based on official tournament results. Watch for the tournament's third round conclusion on August 9, 2026, as this will determine the market outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves Yes if the specified golfer is the sole leader or tied for the lead at the end of Round 3 of the 2026 3M Open. When multiple participants share the lead, Yes positions receive $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N equals the number of tied leaders. No positions receive the complement of the Yes payout. If a golfer forfeits or withdraws before teeing off, the market resolves to Fair Market Price. If withdrawal occurs after teeing off, the market resolves to No.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the 3M Open Round 3 leader market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for who will hold the lead after the third round of this PGA Tour event. The dashboard displays current trading activity, historical price charts, and 24-hour volume of $2,273,182 to help traders monitor sentiment shifts as the tournament progresses. You can view the top contender's implied probability and watch how odds adjust in response to live scoring and player performance throughout the round.

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed betting spreads. Sportsbooks manage risk through margin and limits, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs across many participants. This market's odds can move faster and sometimes price in emerging information before sportsbooks adjust, making it useful for comparing crowd sentiment to professional oddsmakers' views on who will lead after Round 3.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate of the crowd at any moment. As new information emerges—such as leaderboard updates or player withdrawals—traders adjust their positions, and the price moves accordingly. This transparent, real-time pricing model allows you to enter or exit at market rates throughout the trading window.

This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, once the third round of the 3M Open concludes and the leaderboard is finalized. The outcome is determined by verifying who holds the lead after Round 3 against credible public sources, including official PGA Tour scoring and major sports reporting. If there is a tie for the lead, the market rules specify how that scenario is handled. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the round's completion.

Live scoring updates during Round 3 are the primary driver of price movement in this market. A player's hot streak, sudden collapse, or injury can shift odds dramatically as traders reassess who is most likely to lead. Weather conditions, course difficulty, and tee-time groupings also influence expectations. Additionally, any withdrawal or disqualification of a top contender will trigger immediate repricing. Real-time commentary and expert analysis shared on social media and sports platforms often accelerate trader reactions to unfolding events.