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402,751

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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3M Open End of Round 2 Leader
kalshi

Who will lead after round 2 of the 3M Open?

Volume:
$3,427,863

Michael Kim

 - Kalshi

Michael Kim - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 8:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michael Kim

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$617,622
N/A
N/A
$391,774
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$946,285
N/A
N/A
$573,408
Settled
No
kalshi

Emiliano Grillo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$455,632
N/A
N/A
$403,495
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Kohles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$250,407
N/A
N/A
$130,509
Settled
No
kalshi

Gary Woodland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$174,920
N/A
N/A
$122,340
Settled
No
kalshi

Lucas Glover

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$165,737
N/A
N/A
$145,137
Settled
No
kalshi

Chandler Phillips

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$160,356
N/A
N/A
$148,614
Settled
No
kalshi

Jesper Svensson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125,050
N/A
N/A
$95,228
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Koivun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$119,884
N/A
N/A
$71,555
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin Roy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$80,786
N/A
N/A
$75,264
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Brennan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,195
N/A
N/A
$61,597
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Smotherman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,812
N/A
N/A
$52,579
Settled
No
kalshi

Troy Merritt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,795
N/A
N/A
$45,405
Settled
No
kalshi

Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,468
N/A
N/A
$37,168
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny McCarthy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,285
N/A
N/A
$21,285
Settled
No
kalshi

Keita Nakajima

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,924
N/A
N/A
$20,924
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Suber

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,208
N/A
N/A
$20,208
Settled
No
kalshi

Billy Horschel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,476
N/A
N/A
$12,506
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Knapp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,524
N/A
N/A
$12,524
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin Streelman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,225
N/A
N/A
$6,132
Settled
No
kalshi

Trace Crowe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,465
N/A
N/A
$3,465
Settled
No
kalshi

Matti Schmid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,309
N/A
N/A
$3,309
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,238
N/A
N/A
$2,238
Settled
No
kalshi

Vince Whaley

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,689
N/A
N/A
$1,689
Settled
No
kalshi

Kurt Kitayama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,648
N/A
N/A
$1,648
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 147

Intro

This market tracks whether Michael Kim will lead at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 3M Open. On Kalshi, the current probability that Michael Kim will hold the lead is 99.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on official tournament results. The key catalyst to watch will be the tournament's second round ending on August 9, 2026, which will determine the final leaderboard and confirm if Michael Kim is in the leading position.

Kalshi

The market resolves Yes if the specified golfer is the sole leader or tied for the lead at the end of Round 2 of the 2026 3M Open. When multiple participants share the lead, Yes positions receive $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N equals the number of tied leaders. No positions receive the complement of the Yes payout. If a golfer forfeits or withdraws before teeing off, the market resolves to Fair Market Price. If withdrawal occurs after teeing off, the market resolves to No.

Frequently asked questions

The 3M Open Round 2 leader market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for who will hold the lead after the second round of this PGA Tour event. The interface displays current market prices, historical price movements, and 24-hour volume to help traders monitor shifting expectations as the tournament progresses. This market reflects collective trader sentiment on which golfer will be positioned best heading into the weekend rounds, updated continuously as new information and scores emerge throughout the competition.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders on this market may price outcomes differently than traditional sportsbooks based on their own analysis, real-time information flow, and market dynamics. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs or where one venue perceives edge relative to the other.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the latest matched trade, with spreads tightening as more volume flows through the market. Traders can place limit or market orders to express their view on who will lead after Round 2, and the market price adjusts in real time based on supply and demand for each outcome.

This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, once the second round of the 3M Open concludes and final leaderboard standings are verified. The outcome will be confirmed against credible public sources reporting the official tournament results. At that point, the market will settle based on which golfer holds the lead after 36 holes of competition, and traders holding the winning outcome will receive their payout.

Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Live scoring and real-time leaderboard updates during Round 2 will drive immediate price moves as traders react to each golfer's performance. Weather conditions, course setup changes, and injury reports can also influence expectations. Notable player momentum, recent form, and head-to-head matchups between contenders may prompt traders to adjust positions. Breaking news about a competitor's status or sudden changes in playing conditions could trigger sharp repricing across the market.