TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total worldwide streaming performance of 2Pac during the week of July 3-9, 2026. Streaming data is aggregated across all major digital music platforms globally and published by Luminate Data within approximately 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Resolution is determined by 2Pac's total worldwide streams during the July 03 - July 09, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data. The event features tiered thresholds ranging from 64 million to 74 million streams, with each threshold representing a separate resolution criterion. Data is published up to approximately 48 hours after the tracking week concludes. Luminate Data serves as the neutral provider of streaming metrics and does not endorse or participate in market outcomes.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than point-in-time opinions. Traders in this market are financially motivated to incorporate all available information, which can lead to faster updates than formal analyst reports. However, analyst forecasts and expert commentary remain valuable reference points for context and reasoning. Comparing the two can reveal where the market consensus differs from expert consensus, potentially highlighting overlooked factors or areas of genuine disagreement about the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's aggregate belief about the probability of the event occurring, with buyers and sellers negotiating in real time. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the price adjusts dynamically. This mechanism ensures that the odds always represent the marginal trader's view, making the market an efficient aggregator of distributed knowledge across all participants.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, at which point the outcome will be determined and verified against credible public sources. Once the event is confirmed or ruled out through reliable reporting, the market will settle and traders' positions will be finalized according to the result. Until that date, prices may fluctuate as new developments emerge and participants update their expectations. The resolution process ensures that all traders are held to the same factual standard, maintaining the integrity and fairness of the market.
Several catalysts could shift prices in this market, including official announcements, media coverage, or credible reports related to the event. Changes in public sentiment, social media activity, or industry developments may prompt traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected news or statements from relevant parties could trigger sharp price movements as the market reprices its expectations. Additionally, as the resolution date approaches, traders often adjust positions based on updated information or reduced uncertainty, which can amplify volatility. Monitoring these signals helps participants stay informed about shifting market sentiment.