TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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24 Hours of Le Mans: Winner
kalshi
polymarket

24 Hours of Le Mans: Winner

Volume:
$87,385

No. 7 Toyota Racing

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 3:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

No. 7 Toyota Racing

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,891
N/A
N/A
$4,407
Settled
Yes
polymarket

No. 7 Toyota Racing

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No. 12 Cadillac Hertz Team JOTA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,457
N/A
N/A
$6,707
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 12 Cadillac Hertz Team JOTA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 183 AF Corse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,352
N/A
N/A
$9,352
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 183 AF Corse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 38 Cadillac Hertz Team JOTA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,245
N/A
N/A
$5,003
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 38 Cadillac Hertz Team JOTA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 8 Toyota Racing

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,483
N/A
N/A
$2,676
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 8 Toyota Racing

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 15 BMW M Team WRT

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,548
N/A
N/A
$3,133
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 15 BMW M Team WRT

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 20 BMW M Team WRT

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,299
N/A
N/A
$2,576
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 20 BMW M Team WRT

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 51 Ferrari AF Corse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,656
N/A
N/A
$1,979
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 51 Ferrari AF Corse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$924
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 4 Crowdstrike Racing by APR

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,169
N/A
N/A
$1,839
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 4 CrowdStrike Racing by APR

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 50 Ferrari AF Corse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,696
N/A
N/A
$1,223
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 50 Ferrari AF Corse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 83 AF Corse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,499
N/A
N/A
$1,400
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 83 AF Corse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 007 Aston Martin Thor Team

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,365
N/A
N/A
$1,365
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 007 Aston Martin Thor Team

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 101 Cadillac WTR

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,186
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 135

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on which car will win the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans endurance race. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on individual competing teams/car numbers, with resolution based on the official ACO/FIA WEC Final Classification published after the race concludes on June 13-14, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes undefined placeholder car entries (Car A through Car J) and an explicit cancellation clause with a June 21 deadline, while Kalshi provides only specific numbered cars without cancellation language. Additionally, Polymarket's scope is broader (74 questions vs. 62 Kalshi markets), and the placeholder entries create semantic ambiguity.Hero tip: Before trading: (1) Request clarification from Polymarket on what Car A-J represent—are they reserved for late entries, or are they data errors? (2) Assume Kalshi has implicit cancellation parity with Polymarket (June 21 deadline) unless officially stated otherwise. (3) Cross-check both platforms' car rosters against the official 2026 Le Mans entry list published by the ACO to ensure no cars are missing or misidentified. (4) On Polymarket, the 'another car' option (Question 30) will resolve Yes if any car not explicitly listed wins—monitor this as a catch-all.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers 74 questions covering specific cars (e.g., No. 101 Cadillac WTR, No. 93 Peugeot TotalEnergies), undefined placeholder entries (Car A through Car J), and an 'another car' catch-all. Includes explicit cancellation clause: 'If the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 21, 2026, this market will resolve to Other.' Resolution source is official ACO/FIA WEC Final Classification and credible sports news consensus. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve in favor of the car (entry) that is officially listed in first place overall in the Final Classification published by the ACO/FIA WEC following the conclusion of the race.'
  • Kalshi: Offers 62 binary Yes/No markets, each tied to a specific car number and team. Each market resolves Yes if that car finishes first overall in the Main Event. No explicit cancellation clause, rescheduling language, or catch-all option provided. Resolution criteria are identical across all 62 markets: first place overall finish in the Main Event. Key Quote: 'If No. 007 Aston Martin Thor Team finishes in first overall in the Main Event at the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the winning car at the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans, scheduled for Jun 13–14, 2026. If the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 21, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the car (entry) that is officially listed in first place overall in the Final Classification published by the ACO/FIA WEC following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the ACO/FIA WEC's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official 24 Hours of Le Mans / FIA WEC website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

The 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans Overall Winner market resolves to Yes for whichever competing team finishes in first place overall in the Main Event. Resolution is determined by final official race results posted by recognized source agencies, not provisional results. Payouts will be processed after official results are confirmed.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on real-money stakes and continuous order books, often reflecting sharper, more dynamic pricing than traditional sportsbooks. Traders update positions throughout the lead-up to the event, incorporating team performance data, driver lineups, and mechanical updates in near-real time. Sportsbooks typically adjust less frequently and build in wider margins. This market's odds tend to converge toward consensus as new information surfaces, though prediction markets can sometimes price outlier scenarios more aggressively when retail or institutional traders spot perceived edges.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct rule sets, liquidity pools, and user demographics. Kalshi and Polymarket may define the winning outcome slightly differently—for instance, which classification system or timing threshold determines the victor. Liquidity concentration also varies; if one platform attracts more endurance-racing specialists, its pricing may reflect deeper expertise. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when spreads widen, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays typically prevent perfect convergence. Monitoring both venues reveals where the broader market leans most confidently.

Driver roster changes, mechanical failures during practice sessions, and weather forecasts for race week all influence trader positioning. Sponsorship announcements or team funding news can shift perceived competitiveness. Historical performance at Le Mans, recent endurance-racing results, and pit-crew reliability records drive reassessment of odds. As the event date nears, real-time telemetry from qualifying rounds and early-race incidents typically trigger sharp repricing. Major accidents or regulatory penalties could dramatically alter the landscape, making this market highly responsive to emerging information right up until the checkered flag.