TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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24 Hours of Le Mans: LMP2 Winner
kalshi
polymarket

24 Hours of Le Mans: LMP2 Winner

Volume:
$13,919

No. 43 Inter Europol Competition

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 3:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

No. 43 Inter Europol Competition

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,005
N/A
N/A
$2,124
Settled
Yes
polymarket

No. 43 Inter Europol Competition

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No. 30 Duqueine Team

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,269
N/A
N/A
$785
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 30 Duqueine Team

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 343 Inter Europol Competition

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$986
N/A
N/A
$76
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 343 Inter Europol Competition

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 3 DKR Engineering

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 3 DKR Engineering

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 37 CLX Motorsport

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 37 CLX Motorsport

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 25 Algarve Pro Racing

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 25 Algarve Pro Racing

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 9 Proton Competition

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 9 Proton Competition

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 222 United Autosports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 222 United Autosports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 29 Forestier Racing by Panis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 29 Forestier Racing by Panis

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 26 Vector Sport

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 26 Vector Sport

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 24 Nielsen Racing

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 24 Nielsen Racing

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 183 AF Corse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No. 183 AF Corse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
polymarket

No. 44 Proton Competition

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 44

Description

This event group determines the winner of the LMP2 class at the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans endurance race. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on which specific car number will finish first in the LMP2 class according to the official ACO/FIA WEC Final Classification.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes 5 markets with undefined car identifiers (Car A, B, C, D, E) and a catch-all "another car" option that lack explicit entry numbers, making those markets unresolvable without clarification. Kalshi provides only numbered entries with team names, eliminating ambiguity.Hero tip: Kalshi's 19 numbered-car markets are safe to trade. Polymarket's undefined car markets (A, B, C, D, E) and the catch-all create resolution risk. Request Polymarket clarify the mapping of Car A-E to official entry numbers before trading those positions. The core resolution logic (ACO/FIA WEC Final Classification) is consistent, but Polymarket's market design introduces data integrity failure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers 26 markets including 19 named-car markets (matching Kalshi), but also includes 5 undefined placeholder markets (Car A, B, C, D, E) and 1 catch-all (another car) with no entry number mapping. Resolution source is ACO/FIA WEC Final Classification, but undefined cars cannot be matched to official entries. Key quote: 'This market will resolve in favor of the car (entry) that is officially listed in first place in the LMP2 class in the Final Classification published by the ACO/FIA WEC.'
  • Kalshi: Offers 19 markets, each tied to an explicit car number and team name (e.g., No. 3 DKR Engineering, No. 25 Algarve Pro Racing). All entries are unambiguous and resolvable against official FIA WEC records. Key quote: 'If No. [X] [Team Name] finishes in first in the LMP2 class in the Main Race at the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the winning car in the LMP2 class at the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans, scheduled for Jun 13–14, 2026. If the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 21, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the car (entry) that is officially listed in first place in the LMP2 class in the Final Classification published by the ACO/FIA WEC following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the ACO/FIA WEC's published classification will be used to resolve this market. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied car that completed the single fastest lap. The resolution source will be the official 24 Hours of Le Mans / FIA WEC website and a consensus of credible reporting.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final official race results posted by authorized source agencies for the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans main race. The winning team is determined by which LMP2 class competitor finishes in first place. Provisional results are not used for resolution; only final official results are considered. Resolution occurs after official results are published by recognized race authorities.

Frequently asked questions

The LMP2 class winner market aggregates trader positions across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking real-time odds on which team will claim victory in the prototype category at the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans. Traders on both platforms are pricing the same underlying event, though their consensus views may diverge based on liquidity, user composition, and information flow. The dashboard surfaces the top contenders alongside their implied probabilities, letting you compare cross-platform conviction and spot where smart money is concentrating capital ahead of the race.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer order books, meaning odds reflect what traders are willing to buy and sell rather than a sportsbook's margin-adjusted line. This often produces tighter spreads and faster price discovery, especially for niche events like Le Mans class winners. However, sportsbooks may offer deeper liquidity and promotional incentives. Comparing the two reveals whether prediction markets are pricing in information that traditional oddsmakers have yet to fully digest, making them useful for identifying value or consensus shifts.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, regulatory frameworks, and fee structures, all of which influence how quickly new information gets priced in. Polymarket and Kalshi may also weight the same race data differently based on their user base's expertise or risk appetite. Liquidity imbalances—where one platform has significantly more volume than the other—can also create temporary price gaps. Savvy traders monitor both venues to identify arbitrage opportunities or to gauge which platform's consensus is more reliable.

Driver lineup announcements, team sponsorship news, and pre-race testing results can shift odds as traders reassess competitive strength. Mechanical failures or accidents during practice sessions may reduce a favorite's perceived reliability. Weather forecasts closer to race day influence strategy and pit-stop frequency, prompting repricing. Regulatory changes affecting fuel or tire compounds can level the playing field unexpectedly. Real-time pit-stop performance, fuel consumption data, and driver changes during the race itself will drive the most volatile price swings as the event unfolds.