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$1,800,965,112

457,288

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2,792

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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2028 UEFA Euros Champion
kalshi
predict

Who will win 2028 UEFA Euros?

Total volume:
$1,951,611
Volume 24h:
$532,774N/A
Liquidity:
$869,557
2%
Open interest:
$39,619
0%

Spain

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 1, 2028

Will Spain win the 2028 UEFA Euros?

25%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 24¢ buys you 417 shares | Odds: 25% Total Payout: $417 | Net Profit: $317 Multiplier: 4.17x | ROI: 317% | APY: 124% 646 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Spain

Trade
25%
Yes 24¢No 79¢
3¢
N/A
$5,419
0%
0.72%
$2,926
1y 9mo 1w
active
predict

Spain

Trade
24%
1%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
1¢
$42,278
$18,037
20%
25%
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
23.8%
Yes 24¢No 78¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
predict

France

Trade
19%
Yes 19.9¢No 81.1¢
1¢
$47,862
$220,440
0.02%
0.03%
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
kalshi

France

Trade
17%
Yes 19¢No 83¢
2¢
N/A
$5,292
0%
0%
$2,750
1y 9mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
19.3%
Yes 19.5¢No 82.1¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
predict

England

Trade
16%
Yes 15.9¢No 84.2¢
0.1¢
$61,261
$241,066
0%
0%
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
kalshi

England

Trade
13%
Yes 15¢No 87¢
2¢
N/A
$3,372
0%
2%
$2,116
1y 9mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
15.9%
Yes 15.5¢No 85.6¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2¢
predict

Germany

Trade
11%
Yes 11.2¢No 88.9¢
0.1¢
$57,394
$565,612
22%
22%
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
kalshi

Germany

Trade
9%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
2¢
N/A
$1,762
0%
0%
$1,739
1y 9mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
11.2%
Yes 11.1¢No 90¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2¢
predict

Portugal

Trade
10%
Yes 9.9¢No 90.9¢
0.8¢
$49,736
$188,605
0%
0%
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
kalshi

Portugal

Trade
8%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
N/A
$1,984
0%
0%
$1,769
1y 9mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9.5%
Yes 9.5¢No 91.5¢
Avg: 0.9¢Max: 1¢
predict

Italy

Trade
25%
Yes 49.4¢No 99.5¢
48.9¢
$39,697
$77
0%
N/A
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
kalshi

Italy

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 95¢
2¢
N/A
$2,570
0%
0.05%
$1,795
1y 9mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
7%
Yes 28.2¢No 97.2¢
Avg: 25.5¢Max: 48.9¢
kalshi

Sweden

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$927
0%
0%
$927
1y 9mo 1w
active
predict

Sweden

Trade
N/A
N/A
55.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
Avg: 30.3¢Max: 55.5¢
predict

Cyprus

Trade
4%
Yes 8.4¢No 99.7¢
8.1¢
$35,194
$546
0%
N/A
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
kalshi

Netherlands

Trade
8%
Yes 8¢No 96¢
4¢
N/A
$2,222
0%
0%
$1,550
1y 9mo 1w
active
predict

Netherlands

Trade
4%
Yes 4.7¢No 97¢
1.7¢
$76,721
$426,442
0%
0.01%
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.9%
Yes 6.4¢No 96.5¢
Avg: 2.9¢Max: 4¢
predict

Belgium

Trade
4%
Yes 4.6¢No 97.3¢
1.9¢
$142,008
$171,159
0%
0%
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
kalshi

Belgium

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$1,004
0%
0%
$1,004
1y 9mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.7%
Yes 3.8¢No 97.6¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 1.9¢
predict

Norway

Trade
28%
Yes 55.9¢No 99.4¢
55.3¢
$65,181
$2
0%
0%
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
kalshi

Norway

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$1,961
0%
0%
$1,648
1y 9mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3%
Yes 29.5¢No 98.7¢
Avg: 28.2¢Max: 55.3¢
kalshi

Turkiye

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$1,929
0%
0%
$1,929
1y 9mo 1w
active
predict

Turkey

Trade
N/A
N/A
55.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
Avg: 29.4¢Max: 55.7¢
kalshi

Croatia

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$1,744
0%
0%
$1,690
1y 9mo 1w
active
predict

Croatia

Trade
N/A
N/A
55.6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 8mo 2w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
Avg: 28.8¢Max: 55.6¢
Total markets: 25 of 85

Intro

This market tracks which national team will win the 2028 UEFA European Championship, a major international football tournament. Currently, the aggregated probability of Azerbaijan winning the tournament is 49.8%, with Bosnia and Herzegovina following at 44.7%. This consensus view combines data from Kalshi and Predict, and will be resolved based on official UEFA information and credible reporting. Keep an eye on the group stage draw, scheduled for December 2, 2027, as it may significantly shift expectations for each team’s path to victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms define resolution based on a nation winning the UEFA EURO 2028, with a shared contingency for cancellation or postponement.Primary resolution logic: Official UEFA information; consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • A nation wins the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament.
  • If the tournament is cancelled or postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Disqualification: If a nation is disqualified during the tournament, the market will resolve to 'No'.
  • Tiebreakers: Resolution will be based on the official tournament winner as determined by UEFA tiebreaker rules.
Timing: Immediately following the conclusion of the UEFA EURO 2028 final match and official declaration of the winner by UEFA, but no later than July 24, 2028.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The 2028 UEFA European Championship markets resolve based on which national team wins the tournament. Each individual market for a participating nation resolves to Yes if that nation becomes the 2028 UEFA European Championship champion. Resolution is determined by the official outcome of the tournament as recognized by UEFA, with the champion being the team that prevails through the competition format and wins the final match. Only one nation can win the championship, meaning only one market outcome across all participating nations will resolve to Yes, while all others resolve to No.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Predict, the dashboard for the 2028 Euros championship market tracks the collective predictions of traders regarding which nation will win the tournament. Currently, total volume across both platforms exceeds $1,951,611, with $106,011 traded in the last 24 hours. Kalshi currently favors Will Spain win the 2028 UEFA Euros? at 25.0%, while Predict leans toward Will Azerbaijan win the UEFA EURO 2028? at 49.8%. This provides a consensus view of probabilities, aggregating insights from a diverse range of participants.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view of potential outcomes than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the wisdom of the crowd. This means that discrepancies can emerge, especially when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. You may see a 24.8 percentage point difference in implied probabilities between this market and leading sportsbooks, particularly as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.

Differences in prices between Kalshi and Predict on this market can arise from several factors. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform varies, impacting liquidity and price sensitivity. For example, if one platform attracts more informed traders or experiences a surge in activity around a specific outcome, its price may diverge from the other. These differences present opportunities for arbitrage among traders.

This market resolves around Aug 1, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning nation in the 2028 UEFA European Championship, as officially declared by UEFA, will determine the resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result and settlement details on both Kalshi and Predict following the conclusion of the tournament. The outcome will be based on the official results published by the governing body.

Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market before Aug 1, 2028. Major player injuries, changes in team coaching staff, unexpected results in qualifying matches, and even geopolitical events could all shift trader sentiment. Positive or negative news regarding key players’ form, tactical adjustments by national teams, and emerging underdog contenders are likely to cause price fluctuations. Any significant development affecting a nation’s chances of winning will be reflected in the trading volume and probabilities within this market.