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2026 NBA Draft Lottery: 9th Pick
kalshi
polymarket

2026 NBA Draft Lottery: 9th Pick

Volume:
$389,268

Morez Johnson Jr.

 - Kalshi

Morez Johnson Jr. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 9:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Morez Johnson Jr.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,553
N/A
N/A
$17,015
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dallas Mavericks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brayden Burries

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114,217
N/A
N/A
$79,048
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Ament

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,620
N/A
N/A
$46,825
Settled
No
kalshi

Aday Mara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,515
N/A
N/A
$45,450
Settled
No
kalshi

Yaxel Lendeborg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54,627
N/A
N/A
$43,385
Settled
No
kalshi

Kingston Flemings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,804
N/A
N/A
$26,790
Settled
No
kalshi

Darius Acuff Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,187
N/A
N/A
$11,859
Settled
No
kalshi

Mikel Brown Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,396
N/A
N/A
$8,790
Settled
No
kalshi

Keaton Wagler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,926
N/A
N/A
$6,459
Settled
No
kalshi

Labaron Philon Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,793
N/A
N/A
$4,390
Settled
No
kalshi

Hannes Steinbach

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,687
N/A
N/A
$4,687
Settled
No
kalshi

Karim Lopez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,981
N/A
N/A
$2,642
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Carr

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,818
N/A
N/A
$2,502
Settled
No
kalshi

Bennett Stirtz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$437
N/A
N/A
$437
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Anderson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$264
N/A
N/A
$264
Settled
No
kalshi

Koa Peat

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$257
N/A
N/A
$244
Settled
No
kalshi

Allen Graves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
No
kalshi

Dailyn Swain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
$180
Settled
No
kalshi

Ebuka Okorie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
$135
Settled
No
kalshi

Henri Veesaar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Jayden Quaintance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
polymarket

Boston Celtics

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brooklyn Nets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Charlotte Hornets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 63

Description

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the ninth overall pick at the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the ninth overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner, not the team whose record determined the lottery odds. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the ninth overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the ninth overall pick by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket measure orthogonal dimensions of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery 9th pick: player identity vs. team ownership. No logical contradiction exists; they simply answer different questions about the same event.Hero tip: Recognize these as complementary markets, not conflicting ones. A single lottery outcome (e.g., Team X selects Player Y at 9th) will resolve YES on exactly one Kalshi market (the player) and exactly one Polymarket market (the team). Use cross-platform data to identify mispriced correlations between player and team probabilities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Player-centric resolution across 30 binary markets. Each market resolves YES if its named player is selected 9th overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Exactly one Kalshi market will resolve YES (the player actually selected). No team information required.
  • Polymarket: Team-centric resolution across 31 binary markets (30 NBA teams + 'another team' catch-all). Each market resolves YES if the specified team holds draft rights to the 9th pick post-lottery, accounting for trades and protections. Exactly one Polymarket market will resolve YES (the team holding the pick). Player identity irrelevant to resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If Darryn Peterson is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If AJ Dybantsa is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Boozer is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caleb Wilson is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kingston Flemings is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mikel Brown Jr. is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nate Ament is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Isaiah Evans is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yaxel Lendeborg is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Darius Acuff Jr. is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jayden Quaintance is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Koa Peat is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keaton Wagler is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brayden Burries is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karim Lopez is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Labaron Philon Jr. is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aday Mara is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hannes Steinbach is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Cenac Jr. is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Carr is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bennett Stirtz is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian Anderson is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Morez Johnson Jr. is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Allen Graves is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Henri Veesaar is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dailyn Swain is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amari Allen is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ebuka Okorie is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Meleek Thomas is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joshua Jefferson is selected as the 9th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket for the ninth overall pick reflect real-time trader sentiment and are often more granular than traditional sportsbook lines, which may not offer picks beyond the top few selections. Sportsbooks typically focus on lottery odds and early first-round outcomes, whereas prediction markets allow traders to price specific draft positions with precision. The Polymarket market captures evolving assessments of prospect talent, team evaluations, and draft strategy that sportsbooks may lag in reflecting. Comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to analyst consensus and mock draft projections provides additional context for how the market is pricing this ninth-pick scenario relative to expert opinion.