TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
2026 NBA Draft Lottery: 8th Pick
kalshi
polymarket

2026 NBA Draft Lottery: 8th Pick

Volume:
$310,935

Kingston Flemings

 - Kalshi

Kingston Flemings - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 8:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kingston Flemings

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$98,699
N/A
N/A
$72,196
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Atlanta Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aday Mara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84,238
N/A
N/A
$66,804
Settled
No
kalshi

Brayden Burries

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,922
N/A
N/A
$31,759
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Ament

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,511
N/A
N/A
$20,792
Settled
No
kalshi

Darius Acuff Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,235
N/A
N/A
$16,302
Settled
No
kalshi

Keaton Wagler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,992
N/A
N/A
$10,528
Settled
No
kalshi

Mikel Brown Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,890
N/A
N/A
$9,653
Settled
No
kalshi

Hannes Steinbach

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,268
N/A
N/A
$4,440
Settled
No
kalshi

Yaxel Lendeborg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,797
N/A
N/A
$5,665
Settled
No
kalshi

Morez Johnson Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,451
N/A
N/A
$3,830
Settled
No
kalshi

Labaron Philon Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,974
N/A
N/A
$2,834
Settled
No
kalshi

Amari Allen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,738
N/A
N/A
$1,738
Settled
No
kalshi

Allen Graves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$832
N/A
N/A
$832
Settled
No
kalshi

Dailyn Swain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
$365
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Carr

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
No
kalshi

Henri Veesaar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
$117
Settled
No
kalshi

Karim Lopez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$97
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Dybantsa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Joshua Jefferson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
No
kalshi

Meleek Thomas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
No
polymarket

Boston Celtics

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brooklyn Nets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Charlotte Hornets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chicago Bulls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 63

Description

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the eighth overall pick at the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the eighth overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner, not the team whose record determined the lottery odds. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the eighth overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the eighth overall pick by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket measure different dimensions of the same event. Kalshi targets player identity (30 named prospects); Polymarket targets team ownership (30+ NBA teams plus catch-all). Both depend on the same underlying lottery draw, but resolve to different settlement values.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as complementary, not redundant. A Kalshi YES confirms a player was drafted 8th; a Polymarket YES confirms a team received that pick. Both should resolve consistently if the lottery completes normally. Watch for edge cases: if the lottery is delayed past July 9, 2026, Polymarket may resolve to Other while Kalshi awaits the actual pick. If a traded pick with protections is involved, Polymarket explicitly accounts for this; Kalshi does not mention protections, so assume it resolves on the player actually selected regardless of trade mechanics.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Player-centric resolution. Market resolves YES if any of 30 named players (Darryn Peterson, AJ Dybantsa, Cameron Boozer, etc.) is selected as the 8th overall pick. No mention of team ownership, trades, or protections. Single binary outcome per player.
  • Polymarket: Team-centric resolution. Market resolves YES if a specified NBA team (Boston Celtics, Brooklyn Nets, Dallas Mavericks, etc.) holds draft rights to the 8th pick at lottery conclusion. Explicitly addresses traded picks (holder of rights wins, not original team), protected picks (winner determined by ultimate recipient), and force-majeure (resolves to Other if lottery postponed or no team announced by July 9, 2026).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if any of the eligible prospects is selected as the 8th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft. Each prospect—including Darryn Peterson, AJ Dybantsa, Cameron Boozer, Caleb Wilson, Kingston Flemings, Mikel Brown Jr., Nate Ament, Isaiah Evans, Yaxel Lendeborg, Darius Acuff Jr., Jayden Quaintance, Koa Peat, Keaton Wagler, Brayden Burries, Karim Lopez, Labaron Philon Jr., Aday Mara, Hannes Steinbach, Chris Cenac Jr., Cameron Carr, Bennett Stirtz, Christian Anderson, Morez Johnson Jr., Allen Graves, Henri Veesaar, Dailyn Swain, Amari Allen, Ebuka Okorie, Meleek Thomas, and Joshua Jefferson—has an associated outcome. Exactly one prospect will be selected with the 8th pick, and the corresponding market outcome will resolve affirmatively.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-time supply and demand from traders rather than sportsbook pricing models. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds based on liability management and sharp action, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs across many participants. For the Pro Basketball #8 Overall Pick, prediction market prices may diverge from sportsbook lines because traders are directly wagering on draft outcomes with different risk appetites and information sets. Comparing the two venues can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities relative to traditional sports betting.

On Kalshi, the Pro Basketball #8 Overall Pick is priced as binary contracts where traders buy or sell shares representing yes or no outcomes on draft-related events. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The current implied probability reflects the last traded price, and you can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions. Kalshi's order book shows real-time bid-ask spreads, allowing you to see the cost of immediate execution versus waiting for better pricing. As the 2026 NBA Draft approaches, prices will adjust based on lottery results, team needs, player workouts, and injury reports that influence which team holds the eighth pick and which prospect they select.

Several catalysts can shift Pro Basketball #8 Overall Pick odds before resolution. The NBA Draft Lottery outcome directly determines which team holds the eighth pick, creating immediate repricing. Player injury announcements, workout performances, and pre-draft evaluations influence which prospect teams prioritize at that slot. Trade rumors involving teams near the eighth position can alter draft order expectations. College basketball tournament results and late-season performance by draft-eligible players also sway market sentiment. Additionally, coaching changes, front-office hires, and public team statements about draft strategy provide signals that traders incorporate into pricing as the June 2026 draft date approaches.