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406,065

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5

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2026 NBA Draft Lottery: 2nd Pick
polymarket
kalshi

2026 NBA Draft Lottery: 2nd Pick

Volume:
$1,625,482

Darryn Peterson

 - Kalshi

Darryn Peterson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 8:17 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Darryn Peterson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$566,724
N/A
N/A
$363,611
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Utah Jazz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cameron Boozer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$574,968
N/A
N/A
$504,467
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Dybantsa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$335,163
N/A
N/A
$245,142
Settled
No
kalshi

Caleb Wilson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102,781
N/A
N/A
$98,997
Settled
No
kalshi

Darius Acuff Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,130
N/A
N/A
$38,420
Settled
No
kalshi

Yaxel Lendeborg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,494
N/A
N/A
$3,494
Settled
No
kalshi

Braylon Mullins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,262
N/A
N/A
$1,262
Settled
No
kalshi

Mikel Brown Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$339
N/A
N/A
$339
Settled
No
polymarket

Chicago Bulls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Koa Peat

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
$282
Settled
No
kalshi

Kingston Flemings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Ament

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$192
N/A
N/A
$192
Settled
No
polymarket

Brooklyn Nets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jayden Quaintance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
No
polymarket

Washington Wizards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Boston Celtics

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cleveland Cavaliers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Denver Nuggets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Detroit Pistons

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Houston Rockets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Los Angeles Clippers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Los Angeles Lakers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Milwaukee Bucks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Minnesota Timberwolves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 45

Description

This event group covers the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery's second overall pick, with Polymarket tracking which team receives the pick (accounting for trades and protections) and Kalshi tracking which individual player is selected second overall. The markets resolve based on official NBA announcements of the lottery outcome and subsequent draft selection.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure different dimensions of the same draft event. Polymarket resolves on team identity post-lottery and post-trade; Kalshi resolves on specific player identity at draft time. The divergence is structural, not contradictory, but creates two independent betting markets with different risk profiles.Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets. Polymarket outcomes inform Kalshi probabilities but do not determine them. A team receiving the 2nd pick does not guarantee any specific Kalshi player resolves Yes. Use Kalshi for player-specific conviction; use Polymarket for team-level exposure. Monitor pre-draft workouts, team needs, and declared draft boards to cross-validate.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Team-level resolution. Resolves to whichever of 30 NBA teams (or Team A/Team B placeholder, or Other) holds the draft rights to the 2nd overall pick after the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery concludes and all trades/protections are applied. Key Quote: 'If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., top-5 protected), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the second overall pick after all protections are applied.' Fallback: 'Other' if lottery postponed or no announcement by July 9, 2026.
  • Kalshi: Player-level resolution. Resolves Yes if any of 12 named players (Yaxel Lendeborg, Nate Ament, Mikel Brown Jr., Koa Peat, Kingston Flemings, Jayden Quaintance, Darryn Peterson, Darius Acuff Jr., Caleb Wilson, Cameron Boozer, Braylon Mullins, AJ Dybantsa) is selected as the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 Pro Men's Basketball draft. No resolution logic provided for players not on this list or for cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Each player listed resolves to Yes if selected as the second overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft. Resolution is based on the official draft order announced by the NBA, with only the player selected at pick #2 triggering a Yes outcome.