TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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2026 NBA Draft Lottery: 13th Pick
kalshi
polymarket

2026 NBA Draft Lottery: 13th Pick

Volume:
$156,588

Nate Ament

 - Kalshi

Nate Ament - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 9:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nate Ament

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$49,430
N/A
N/A
$36,983
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Miami Heat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Labaron Philon Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,720
N/A
N/A
$29,834
Settled
No
kalshi

Karim Lopez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,141
N/A
N/A
$16,078
Settled
No
kalshi

Hannes Steinbach

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,074
N/A
N/A
$14,658
Settled
No
kalshi

Brayden Burries

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,083
N/A
N/A
$8,070
Settled
No
kalshi

Aday Mara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,138
N/A
N/A
$5,113
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Carr

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,721
N/A
N/A
$4,605
Settled
No
kalshi

Yaxel Lendeborg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,786
N/A
N/A
$1,971
Settled
No
kalshi

Morez Johnson Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,635
N/A
N/A
$2,394
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Anderson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,282
N/A
N/A
$2,282
Settled
No
kalshi

Bennett Stirtz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,070
N/A
N/A
$2,070
Settled
No
kalshi

Meleek Thomas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,177
N/A
N/A
$1,177
Settled
No
kalshi

Dailyn Swain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
$756
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Karaban

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$740
N/A
N/A
$740
Settled
No
kalshi

Kingston Flemings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$739
N/A
N/A
$683
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Dybantsa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$669
N/A
N/A
$552
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Boozer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$664
N/A
N/A
$552
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Cenac Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$580
N/A
N/A
$580
Settled
No
kalshi

Amari Allen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$569
N/A
N/A
$569
Settled
No
kalshi

Darryn Peterson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$552
N/A
N/A
$552
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergio de Larrea

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$357
N/A
N/A
$357
Settled
No
kalshi

Ebuka Okorie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
$345
Settled
No
kalshi

Jayden Quaintance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
$319
Settled
No
kalshi

Tarris Reed Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$269
N/A
N/A
$269
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 83

Description

This event group encompasses two distinct but related prediction markets about the 2026 NBA Draft: one tracking which specific player will be selected 13th overall (Kalshi), and another tracking which NBA team will hold the 13th pick rights (Polymarket). Both resolve based on the official outcome of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery and subsequent draft proceedings.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The two platforms measure different dimensions of the 2026 NBA Draft 13th pick outcome: Kalshi resolves on player identity while Polymarket resolves on team ownership. This is a scope divergence rather than a logical contradiction.Hero tip: Understand that exactly one Kalshi player market will resolve YES (the player actually drafted 13th) and exactly one Polymarket team market will resolve YES (the team holding that pick). These are complementary views of the same event, not competing claims. Use Polymarket to predict team positioning and Kalshi to predict player outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Player-centric resolution. 50 binary markets, each resolving YES if a specific named player is selected 13th overall. Mutually exclusive outcomes. Key Quote: 'If [Player Name] is selected as the 13th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Team-centric resolution. 34 binary markets covering all 30 NBA teams plus placeholder options (Team A, Team B, Other). Resolves YES if the specified team holds draft rights to 13th pick, accounting for trades and protections. Key Quote: 'If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the thirteenth overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if any of the listed players is selected as the 13th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft. Each player outcome is mutually exclusive, as only one player can occupy the 13th position. Resolution is determined by the official draft selection announced during the 2026 NBA Draft event.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket for the Pro Basketball #13 Overall Pick reflect real-time trader consensus rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks typically adjust odds based on betting volume and risk management, prediction markets aggregate beliefs from many participants trading directly on contract outcomes. Sportsbooks may offer different spreads or formats for draft-related bets, but prediction markets provide a continuous, transparent price discovery mechanism. The Polymarket market allows traders to buy and sell positions throughout the betting window, creating a dynamic odds environment that often diverges from static sportsbook offerings, particularly as new information about draft prospects or lottery results emerges.