TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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2026 MLB All-Star Game: MVP
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Who will win the 2026 MLB All-Star Game MVP?

Volume:
$64,063

Cody Bellinger

 - Polymarket

Cody Bellinger - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 15, 2026

Closed: Jul 14, 7:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Cody Bellinger

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

MLB All-Star Game

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$32,504
$49,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Game goes to extra innings

8%
Yes 8¢No 92¢
100¢
N/A
$2,121
N/A
N/A
$2,120
Settled
No
polymarket

Shohei Ohtani

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$719
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jacob Latz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chase Burns

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Aroldis Chapman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cristopher Sanchez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cade Smith

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pete Crow-Armstrong

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Freddie Freeman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Andy Pages

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nick Kurtz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Byron Buxton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ranger Suarez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cam Schlittler

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Matt Olson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bobby Witt Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Junior Caminero

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Luis Arraez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Max Muncy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Corbin Carroll

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bryan Baker

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bryce Harper

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Raisel Iglesias

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 82

Description

This event group covers the 2026 MLB All-Star Game scheduled for July 14, 2026, with markets spanning the game outcome (AL vs NL winner), individual player MVP awards, and extra-innings resolution. The primary focus is determining who will be named the 2026 MLB All-Star Game MVP from a roster of 65 named players plus an 'Other' category.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Three distinct settlement events across platforms with different scopes, timing, and edge-case handling. Predict covers game outcome only; Polymarket covers MVP award with a hard July 28 deadline; Kalshi covers extra-innings occurrence. No logical dependency or unified resolution path exists.Hero tip: Treat these as three independent markets. The game outcome (Predict) does not determine the MVP (Polymarket). Monitor the July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline on Polymarket strictly—if MLB does not announce an MVP by then, all individual player markets resolve to 'Other'. Kalshi's extra-innings market resolves before MVP is announced and is purely about game length, not performance or award.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Binary game outcome market (AL wins vs NL wins). Resolves based on final game result. If postponed, stays open. If canceled or tied, resolves 50-50. Source: Official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus.
  • Polymarket: Individual MVP award market for 65 named players plus 'Other'. Resolves to the player awarded MVP by MLB. If unlisted player wins, resolves 'Other'. If multiple winners, alphabetically first last name. Hard deadline: July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If game canceled, MVP not announced by deadline, or no MVP crowned, resolves 'Other'. Source: Official MLB or credible reporting.
  • Kalshi: Extra-innings occurrence market. Resolves Yes if game goes to extra innings, No otherwise. No explicit handling of cancellation, postponement, or tie scenarios provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the winner of the 2026 MLB All-Star Game MVP award. If an unlisted player wins the 2026 MLB All-Star Game MVP award this market will resolve to "Other". If two or more players are announced as winners of the 2026 MLB All-Star Game MVP award, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB All-Star Game is cancelled, the MVP award winner is not announced by July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no player is crowned as the MVP, then this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If AL and NL go to extra innings in the AL vs NL professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB All-Star Game between the American League and National League, scheduled for July 14 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "American League" if the American League wins the game. This market will resolve to "National League" if the National League wins the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

The 2026 MLB All-Star MVP market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Predict, tracking which player will win the Most Valuable Player award at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game. This market pools volume of $64,063 across both venues, reflecting real-time consensus on the likely MVP recipient. Traders buy and sell shares tied to individual player outcomes, with prices reflecting the collective probability estimate. The dashboard displays leading contenders, current odds, and 24-hour volume of $10,031, giving you a snapshot of where the prediction market stands ahead of the midsummer classic.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what thousands of informed traders collectively believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional oddsmakers update their lines. Prediction market prices tend to be more efficient at incorporating breaking news about player injuries, lineup changes, or performance trends. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus shifts in player sentiment.

Player injuries or roster changes leading up to the All-Star Game can dramatically shift odds, especially if a top contender is ruled out or a breakout performer is added to the roster. Performance trends during the regular season—batting averages, home run rates, or pitching excellence—influence trader confidence in individual players. All-Star voting results and manager selections reveal which players are actually competing, narrowing the field and concentrating volume on realistic candidates. Weather forecasts, ballpark dimensions, and the designated host city can subtly favor certain player types. Media narratives and expert predictions also move sentiment. Close monitoring of injury reports and lineup announcements in the weeks before the game will help you stay ahead of market repricing.