TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.9b

24H VOL:

$225,546,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,816,443,416

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,867,230,198

490,493

Markets across

36,414

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,838

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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Entertainment
Grammy nominees: Song of the Year
kalshi

Grammy nominees: Song of the Year

Feb 10, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Nov 1, 2027, 11:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$73,565
Volume 24h:
$1,666
95%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$54,549
0.34%

I Knew It, I Knew You

 - Kalshi

I Knew It, I Knew You - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 1, 2027

2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year?

89%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 89¢ buys you 112 shares | Odds: 89% Total Payout: $112 | Net Profit: $12 Multiplier: 1.12x | ROI: 12% | APY: 12% 372 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

I Knew It, I Knew You

Trade
89%
Yes 89¢No 12¢
1¢
N/A
$12,105
3%
4%
$7,029
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Man I Need

88%
4%
Yes 94¢No 13¢
7¢
N/A
$1,300
6%
6%
$456
1y 1w
active
kalshi

the cure

85%
Yes 93¢No 14¢
7¢
N/A
$4,061
0%
1%
$3,662
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Choosin' Texas

83%
Yes 87¢No 17¢
4¢
N/A
$4,353
0%
0.91%
$1,902
1y 1w
active
kalshi

WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!

76%
3%
Yes 83¢No 21¢
4¢
N/A
$4,173
0.5%
1%
$2,828
1y 1w
active
kalshi

The Great Divide

74%
Yes 75¢No 33¢
8¢
N/A
$1
0%
N/A
$1
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Die On This Hill

50%
Yes 50¢No 58¢
8¢
N/A
$25
0%
86%
$25
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Risk It All

44%
Yes 47¢No 57¢
4¢
N/A
$588
45%
47%
$588
1y 1w
active
kalshi

hate that i made you love me

40%
Yes 40¢No 68¢
8¢
N/A
$2,207
0%
0.69%
$1,875
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Dracula (with JENNIE)

36%
Yes 45¢No 64¢
9¢
N/A
$4
0%
N/A
$2
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Aperture

29%
Yes 28¢No 80¢
8¢
N/A
$2,390
0%
0%
$1,549
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Berghain

21%
Yes 30¢No 79¢
9¢
N/A
$200
0%
N/A
$200
1y 1w
active
kalshi

I Just Might

3%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$5,230
0%
2%
$4,661
1y 1w
active
kalshi

E85

3%
Yes 10¢No 98¢
8¢
N/A
$102
0%
N/A
$100
1y 1w
active
kalshi

The Fate of Ophelia

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$33,890
3%
6%
$27,528
1y 1w
active
kalshi

So Easy (To Fall In Love)

1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$1,701
0%
0%
$922
1y 1w
active
kalshi

drop dead

1%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
N/A
$1,234
0%
0%
$1,222
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Lost Boys

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Iloveitiloveitiloveit

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Boston

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Oh Yeah?

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Babydoll

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Bring Your Love

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Chanel

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1w
active
kalshi

Everything Hallelujah

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 1w
active
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks whether the song Aperture will receive a nomination for Song of the Year at the 69th Grammy Awards. On Kalshi, the probability that Aperture earns a Song of the Year nomination stands at 91.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Grammy Awards nomination announcement, with the 69th Grammy Awards ceremony scheduled for November 2027 as the key milestone to monitor.

Kalshi

If The Fate of Ophelia has been nominated for Song of the Year at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Man I Need has been nominated for Song of the Year at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aperture has been nominated for Song of the Year at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If I Just Might has been nominated for Song of the Year at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Choosin' Texas has been nominated for Song of the Year at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If So Easy (To Fall In Love) has been nominated for Song of the Year at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Song of the Year market tracks the current odds for each nominee, displaying the implied probability of winning as determined by traders. You’ll also find a price history chart showing how those odds have fluctuated over time, alongside the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $637. The total volume traded in this market is $73,565. This allows you to see which nominees are gaining or losing favor with those predicting the outcome of the Grammy Awards.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may focus on critical acclaim or industry buzz, this market represents the collective wisdom of individuals putting their money behind their predictions. Discrepancies can arise from factors analysts might overlook, such as the influence of fan bases or unexpected campaign pushes. It’s interesting to observe how the market’s probabilities evolve as we approach the award ceremony, potentially diverging from or aligning with expert opinions.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement of the Grammy Award for Song of the Year will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract. Trading will cease once the winner is declared, and contracts for the winning nominee will pay out, while those for other nominees will expire worthless. Keep an eye on official Grammy announcements as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements from influential artists or celebrities could boost a nominee’s chances. Unexpected performances or appearances during awards shows or promotional events could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, any significant media coverage or viral moments related to a song could influence trading activity. Public opinion, as gauged by streaming numbers and social media engagement, may also play a role in how traders adjust their positions leading up to Nov 1, 2027.